May Property Market Update

Charlie Panayi • May 30, 2023

Summary

• Property prices in UK fall 1.3% over the last 6 months

• Activity level is recovering stopping the speed of decrease

• Stronger growth in new sales brings more sellers into the market

• Biggest activity in London, Scotland and north east

• Weaker demand but sales hold up in Midlands and southern England

• Mortgage regulations have tempered the impact of higher mortgage rates on house prices.

• 11% proportion of homes on market were previously rentals

• 1.9% UK house price increase YOY



Drop in price over the last six months

Zoopla price index indicates a drop of 1.3% in the last six months, mainly due to the increased mortgage rates. However demand has recovered recently stalling the decline.

The annual rate of price inflation is 1.9%, down from 9.6% a year ago.

I would expect prices to remain relatively similar for the rest of the year, with mortgage rates stabilising and demand showing promise. However with the higher-than expected inflation rise, it is likely interest rates may rise, if they do this will of course have a knock on effect to mortgages, then onto property prices.


More sellers

Although demand is weaker, we are seeing nationally an increased in sellers due to confidence in the market. Over the last few weeks we have seen it 11% higher than the average for this period over the past 5 years. As many buyers are also selling, more sales boost the flow of new homes for sale which is 16% up on the 5-year average

Around 18% of homes on the market with Zoopla have had the pricing drop by 5%, or higher, compared to 28% in February. Typically sellers amend pricing 8 weeks after the initial listing, in my opinion this tends to be through bad advice from the agents valuing. Alternatively you could say sellers being more realistic in line with buyer demand.

Landlords parting ways

As some landlords are looking to balance their portfolios, with the increased in mortgage rates we have seen an influx of properties marketed that were previously rented, around 11% of the available proportion.

This does of course put increased pressure on the rental crisis in many parts of the UK, with not enough homes to rent.


Regional market conditions differ

Buyer demand continues to perform best in the north east of England, along with increased performance in London. Demand is above the national average in these regions and sales are more than 10% higher.

Where you will see in the South and Midlands, where we saw some of the highest price increases over the last 3 years, have seen a decline. This is mainly due to affordability reasons with the previously stated high values. This doesn’t mean there is no active buyers, as there is still above average sales being agreed, just at a slower rate.


Things are still selling

Although demand is weaker year-on-year and supply rising, there is no sign of a back-log of unsold properties building up. The number of homes listed for more than 90 days in most areas is in line with the 5- year average. This would suggest as long as sellers are realistic with pricing there is no need for a large price drop between now and the end of year.


Will we see a big price drop?

With the increased mortgage rates, historically would have meant house prices falling. However due to mortgage regulations in the way people are lent money, this has protected the housing market, meaning we are seeing less impact than we may have historically.

Anyone using a mortgage since 2015 has had to demonstrate they can afford 6.5-7% mortgage rates, even though people were only paying 1 or 2%. Therefore in theory the market was already running at higher rates before it happened, meaning less impact on those borrowing.

I would suggest this is one of the biggest reasons we have not seen as big an impact as predicted by main stream media, along with prolonged desire for house movers still wanting to find their new home since COVID-19 lock-downs.


Will mortgage rates increase?

Mortgage rates have moved back towards 4%. However the latest inflation numbers have increased the likelihood that we will see further increased rates by the Bank of England, which will likely mean an increase in mortgage rates.

With the increased housing activity over the last two months, it has proven that the 4% region of rates are generally affordable for new homebuyers. This is despite them being more than double 2021 rates, however as previously mentioned, this is due to mortgage standards already stress testing at the 6.5%-7% rate since 2015.

The more mortgage rates move above 5%, the greater the impact on buying power and the more house prices will come under downward pressure. Banks increasing their affordability tests further than the current levels for new borrowers will compound this pressure.


By Charlie Panayi March 25, 2025
I’m incredibly honored to be shortlisted for the Entrepreneur Award at the IW Chamber Business Awards 2025 .
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Pride is often seen as a positive force in business. It fuels confidence, resilience, and a strong sense of leadership. But when left unchecked, pride can quietly hold you back , stopping you from seeing opportunities, embracing feedback, and making the decisions that will actually move you forward. A recent conversation with a client really drove this home for me. They shared how they had struggled to accept feedback because it felt like a personal criticism of their leadership , also a local business owner I witnessed who can't see it in themselves . This wasn’t about arrogance...it was about pride getting in the way of growth. And the more I thought about it, the more I realised how common this is. Pride, when taken too far, can blind leaders to the very things that could help them succeed. It creates an invisible ceiling...one that limits perspective, slows progress, and damages relationships . So, how does this happen? Here are five ways pride could be limiting your success... and what you can do about it. 1. Resistance to Feedback: The Silent Growth Killer No one likes criticism. But when pride takes over, even constructive feedback feels like a personal attack . Instead of seeing feedback as a tool for improvement , many leaders see it as a challenge to their authority or expertise . Yet, research has shown that companies that actively seek feedback and foster a culture of learning outperform those that don’t. A study from Zenger & Folkman found that leaders who ask for and act on feedback are rated 86% more effective by their employees (source) . If you struggle to accept feedback, ask yourself: What if this person is right? What opportunities am I missing by ignoring this? Am I resisting feedback because of ego , or because I genuinely disagree? The moment you start separating feedback from personal identity , you unlock a whole new level of growth . 2. Fear of Vulnerability: Why Leaders Struggle to Ask for Help Many business owners and leaders feel pressure to always have the answers . They believe that admitting a mistake or asking for help is a sign of weakness . But in reality, it’s the opposite . Some of the most successful people in the world actively seek out help and mentorship . They surround themselves with advisors, peers, and experts who challenge their thinking and push them forward. If you never ask for help, you risk: Making avoidable mistakes because you didn’t seek advice Slowing down your progress by trying to figure everything out alone Burning out by carrying more than you need to The best leaders don’t go it alone... they build strong support systems and know when to reach out. 3. Stagnation from Perfectionism: The Illusion of ‘Not Ready Yet’ Pride and perfectionism often go hand in hand. Leaders with high standards (which is a good thing) can sometimes become paralysed by the fear of launching something imperfect (which is a bad thing). You tell yourself: “I’ll do it when it’s perfect.” “It’s not quite ready yet.” “I need more time.” But the reality? Perfectionism is often just fear in disguise. The longer you wait, the more momentum you lose. Research suggests that 92% of people fail to achieve their goals , often because they overanalyse or delay starting due to fear of failure. Success isn’t about getting it perfect... it’s about getting it started . 4. Limited Perspective: The Danger of Thinking ‘My Way is the Only Way’ Pride convinces leaders that their way is the best way... but in business, that kind of thinking can kill innovation . The best ideas often come from outside perspectives... from employees, peers, mentors, or even customers. If you shut down new ideas because they don’t align with your way of thinking , you could be missing out on game-changing opportunities . Neuroscience research suggests that leaders who expose themselves to diverse perspectives enhance cognitive flexibility and decision-making skills (source) . The fix? Stay curious . Actively seek out different perspectives . Challenge yourself to see things through someone else’s lens...bec ause that’s often where the biggest breakthroughs happen. 5 . Strained Relationships: When Pride Creates Distance A leader who always needs to be right is a leader who will struggle to build trust . When pride gets in the way, relationships suffer. Employees stop speaking up, business partners hold back ideas, and clients feel unheard. Over time, this creates a culture where collaboration is weak, communication is guarded, and progress slows down. L eaders who demonstrate humility are more effective at building high-performing teams . The most influential leaders aren’t the ones who force their opinions... they’re the ones who listen, adapt, and bring people together. How to Shift: The Power of Humility Balancing confidence with humility is the key to real, sustainable success . The best leaders: ✔️ Embra ce feedback instead of resisting it ✔️ Ask for help without fear of looking weak ✔️ Take action instead of waiting for perfection ✔️ Stay open to new perspectives ✔️ Lead with curiosity, not ego Pride won’t grow your business. Humility will.  Final Thoughts Pride is tricky...it feels like strength, but when it’s unchecked, it can be a hidden weakness. If you recognise any of these patterns in yourself, don’t beat yourself up. Awareness is the first step. The key is to stay open, keep learning, and always be willing to grow. At the end of the day, leadership isn’t about having all the answers... it’s about knowing when to listen, learn, and evolve . If you want to book me for a talk or work with me, reach me via charlie@charliepanayi.com
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