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Labour in Charge - What does that mean for UK Property?

Charlie Panayi • July 17, 2024

What Could a Labour Government Mean for the Housing Market?

With a Labour government now in power, let's take a look into their housing promises and what they could mean for home-movers.


Help for Renters

Labour is set on banning no-fault evictions, providing more security for renters. They also plan to extend ‘Awaab’s Law’ to the private rental sector, which mandates landlords to address reported health hazards promptly. Additionally, Labour aims to empower tenants to challenge unreasonable rent increases.


Building New Homes

Labour has committed to constructing 1.5 million homes over the next five years. This ambitious plan also includes updates to the National Policy Planning Framework, aiming to streamline the process and encourage more development.


Support for First-Time Buyers

Labour hopes to help 80,000 more people get onto the property ladder with a comprehensive mortgage guarantee scheme. They also propose giving local buyers ‘first dibs’ on new developments, aiming to prioritize community members.


Mortgages

The ‘Freedom to Buy’ mortgage guarantee scheme is another of Labour’s pledges, designed to assist first-time buyers with smaller deposits. While not a direct pledge, Labour has expressed a commitment to keeping mortgage rates as low as possible.


Stamp Duty

First-time buyers currently enjoy a stamp duty exemption on homes priced up to £425,000, but this relief is set to end next year. Labour plans to maintain this exemption until March 2025, though there is no commitment to extend it beyond that date.


Greener Homes

Labour plans to ensure all private rental properties achieve an EPC rating of C by 2030, without forcing the removal of old gas boilers. Their national Warm Homes Plan aims to eliminate fuel poverty by 2030, potentially affecting up to 5 million homes.


Other Housing Legislation

Labour intends to reform the leasehold system, making common hold the default tenure for new-build flats and banning new leasehold flats altogether.


My Thoughts…

In one way having the election completed and the government in place brings the end of uncertainty. Which will bring calm to the property market.

I think it’s important that we get a better balance to suit all parts of the market. Labours focus on building more homes is of course welcomed, but there is more that could be done to support buyers in the market. Maybe consider some innovative solutions for deposits and lending criteria. Again, these are ambitious plans, lets see what really happens…

By Charlie Panayi January 29, 2025
Welcome to this month’s property market update, where we break down the latest trends in the UK housing market. January has kicked off with a strong start, with positive signs across buyer demand, stock levels, and house price growth. Let’s take a closer look. Summary Annual UK house price inflation: +2.0% (up from -0.9% a year ago) Buyer demand: Up 13% year-on-year Homes for sale: 10% increase compared to January 2024 Sales agreed: 12% growth versus last year Fastest-growing region: Northern Ireland (+7.7%) Most in-demand price range: £300,000 - £625,000 (due to upcoming stamp duty changes) Buyer Demand Remains Strong The start of 2025 has seen a surge in market activity, with buyer demand up 13% year-on-year. More homes are coming to market, giving buyers greater choice, while sales agreed are also up 12% compared to the same period in 2024. The average estate agent branch now has 31 properties listed for sale...the highest number recorded in January for seven years. This increase in available stock is helping to keep the market moving and prevent excessive price spikes. I mpact of Stamp Duty Changes The April 2025 stamp duty changes are having a noticeable effect on buyer behavior, particularly among first-time buyers (FTBs). Demand has jumped by over a third in the £300,000 - £625,000 price range, as buyers try to complete purchases before the tax increase kicks in. Properties under £300,000 remain attractive, as FTBs continue to pay no stamp duty. Properties over £625,000 have seen slower demand growth, as they do not benefit from tax relief. This trend is particularly evident in London and the South East , where many properties fall into this price bracket. Regional House Price Performance While the national house price inflation sits at +2.0% , growth varies across the country: Northern Ireland: +7.7% (fastest growth) North West: +3.2% London: +1.4% South East & East: +1.0% At a local level, Wigan (+5.6%) and Motherwell (+4.9%) have seen the strongest house price growth over the past year. Earnings vs. House Prices: A Positive Shift For the second consecutive year, wage growth is outpacing house price inflation. Annual earnings are rising by 5% , while house prices have increased by 2% , improving affordability for buyers. With mortgage rates stabilizing in the 4-5% range , this trend is expected to continue throughout 2025, making home-ownership more accessible for those looking to buy. Outlook for 2025 The market has started 2025 on a solid footing, with positive signs for both buyers and sellers : House prices forecast to rise by +2.5% in 2025 Total property sales expected to increase by 5% to 1.15 million Affordability to improve as incomes rise and interest rates stabilise While some short-term activity is being driven by buyers looking to beat the stamp duty deadline, a strong pipeline of demand suggests the market will remain resilient throughout the year. Final Thoughts With buyer demand up, more homes for sale, and affordability slowly improving, 2025 is shaping up to be a healthier market for property transactions. If you’re considering buying or selling, now may be a great time to explore your options. For tailored advice or further insights, feel free to get in touch! If you want to learn more about property, or book me to speak - reach out to me via www.charliepanayi.com
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